Bir Anket Faciası: Literary Digest ve 1936 ABD Başkanlık Seçimlerindeki Tahmin Hatası

EyaletLandon (Toplam Oy)Roosevelt (Toplam Oy)Ala.3,06010,082Ariz.2,3371,975Ark.2,7247,608Calif.89,5167,608Colo.15,94910,025Conn.28,80913,413Del.2,9182,048Fla.6,0878,620Ga.3,94812,915Idaho3,6532,611Ill.123,29779,035Ind.42,80526,663Iowa31,87118,614Kans.35,40820,254Ky.13,36516,592La.3,6867,902Maine3,6867,902Md.17,46318,341Mass.87,44925,965Mich.51,47825,686Minn.30,76220,733Mis.8486,080Mo.50,0228,267Mont.4,4903,562Nebr.18,28011,770Nev.1,003955N.H.9,2072,737N.J.58,67727,631N.M.1,6251,662N.Y.162,260139,277N.C.6,11316,324N. Dak.4,2503,666Ohio77,89650,778Okla.14,44215,075Ore.11,74710,951Pa.119,08681,114R.I.10,4013,489S.C.1,2477,105S.Dak.8,4834,507Tenn.9,88319,829Texas15,34137,501Utah4,0675,318Vt.7,2412,458Va.10,22316,783Wash.21,37015,300W.Va.13,66010,235Wis.33,79620,781Wyo.2,5261,533Bilinmeyen Eyaletler1586545Toplam1,293,669972,897Kaynak: Literary Digest, 31 Ekim 1936. Yukarıdaki tablo daha önceden 1916,…